Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.166889 11.724898 13.397061 15.319987 17.464787 19.778034 22.456063
2025-09-07 7.987717 10.070123 12.465904 15.405815 18.894688 22.880652 27.755416
2025-09-14 6.634397 8.961315 11.784151 15.419704 19.933050 25.305042 32.131023
2025-09-21 5.735990 8.218693 11.368516 15.591079 21.029061 27.717309 36.476036
2025-09-28 4.976037 7.527428 10.899083 15.584063 21.815767 29.701667 40.299623
2025-10-05 4.508083 7.155862 10.782460 15.980543 23.088208 32.301313 44.953401
2025-10-12 4.077703 6.776767 10.600848 16.242922 24.156317 34.640947 49.323010
2025-10-19 3.661433 6.364559 10.322189 16.325400 24.950454 36.615074 53.248752
2025-10-26 3.171273 5.780193 9.733303 15.903769 24.989752 37.535638 55.754829
2025-11-02 2.779815 5.304466 9.257844 15.598163 25.151557 38.599384 58.458426
2025-11-09 2.435695 4.865133 8.795034 15.266456 25.236376 39.531562 60.980683
2025-11-16 2.145510 4.482877 8.385701 14.978499 25.353184 40.490677 63.546310
2025-11-23 1.851656 4.062133 7.880789 14.508028 25.171539 41.015492 65.523288
2025-11-30 1.687977 3.861527 7.726788 14.589267 25.838130 42.804833 69.385327
2025-12-07 1.531636 3.655288 7.542958 14.602535 26.387310 44.424690 73.033272
2025-12-14 1.414046 3.511090 7.454899 14.766399 27.176319 46.424394 77.294571
2025-12-21 1.285088 3.327146 7.277356 14.759689 27.678437 47.989269 80.934036
2025-12-28 1.217525 3.265071 7.320187 15.138845 28.828949 50.591991 86.217738
2026-01-04 1.140062 3.171646 7.294405 15.389800 29.768747 52.884960 91.078414
2026-01-11 1.050237 3.038749 7.179817 15.468693 30.413021 54.720094 95.268303
2026-01-18 0.920105 2.793475 6.819240 15.065420 30.200309 55.160279 97.271815
2026-01-25 0.814764 2.592249 6.529317 14.773172 30.161079 55.870263 99.707373
2026-02-01 0.718617 2.399141 6.237894 14.456015 30.056560 56.459596 101.953247